Dynasty, college betting, NFL betting, DFS, college hoops
Football models you can audit.
Dynasty fantasy values, college football betting edges, weekly DFS slates, college hoops. SHAP-explained, backtested, public. We show the math because you should be able to argue with it.
The platform
Same Postgres, same backtest discipline.Live
Dynasty Edge
SHAP-explained values for every NFL skill player
- Models A–D, calibrated 90% range, +0.5 PPG bias correction
- Walk-forward backtest 2021–2023 (MAE 2.44 PPG)
- Sleeper league import, trade calc with picks, rookie board
Open Dynasty
Spring 2026
CFB Betting
Ridge + XGBoost ensemble, 50,000 game simulation
- 67 Power-4 teams projected with conf champ probabilities
- National title pathways, spring scouting reports, futures edges
- Top edge today: loading…
2026 Preview
Coming soon
NFL Betting + DFS
Game lines, props, and weekly DFS optimizer
- Same model patterns as CFB, NFL-specific feature stores
- DraftKings public API for live slate + salary
- Public bet log + closing-line value tracking
See preview
Why “and Model”?
Most football sites either show you predictions without explaining how, or bury the model behind a paywall and a vibe. We do the opposite: the math shows up next to every number. Backtests are public. Feature contributions are public. When the model is wrong, that's public too.
Read the methodology